Analisis Faktor- Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia

Sugeng Kurtikto Wahyudi, Ausy Riana

Sari


Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi inflasi di Indonesia dengan fokus pada nilai tukar rupiah, suku bunga acuan Bank Indonesia, harga minyak dunia, dan jumlah uang beredar. Metode yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi berganda dengan data sekunder yang mencakup periode tertentu. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hipotesis pertama (H1) terkait pengaruh nilai tukar rupiah terhadap inflasi ditolak, dengan koefisien sebesar 0,211 dan nilai signifikansi 0,126, menunjukkan bahwa nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi. Sebaliknya, hipotesis kedua (H2) yang menguji pengaruh suku bunga acuan BI diterima, dengan koefisien 0,398 dan nilai signifikansi 0,000, mengindikasikan pengaruh signifikan suku bunga terhadap inflasi. Hipotesis ketiga (H3) tentang pengaruh harga minyak dunia juga ditolak, dengan koefisien 0,110 dan nilai signifikansi 0,268. Terakhir, hipotesis keempat (H4) mengenai jumlah uang beredar juga ditolak, dengan koefisien 0,083 dan nilai signifikansi 0,484. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa di antara variabel yang diuji, hanya suku bunga acuan BI yang memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia, sementara nilai tukar, harga minyak, dan jumlah uang beredar tidak berkontribusi secara signifikan.
Kata kunci: Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Suku Bunga Acuan, Jumlah Uang Beredar, Indonesia.

Teks Lengkap:

Download PDF

Referensi


A., A., Istri, Agung, Maharani., Hery, Sulistio, Jati, Nugroho, Sriwiyanto., Faiza, Husnayeni, Nahar. (2022). 4. Analysis of exchange rate pass-through to price stability in indonesia 2010-2019. doi: 10.20961/jaedc.v7i1.79420

Abdul, Khaliq. (2017). 4. Mekanisme transmisi goncangan harga minyak dan harga pangan dunia terhadap perekonomian makro indonesia: pendekatan structural vector autoregressive (svar). BMJ, doi: 10.30813/BMJ.V11I2.625

Agung, Slamet, Sukardi. (2023). 4. Implementation Policy of ITF (Inflation Targeting Framework) Bank Indonesia on Inflation Rate In Indonesia. Malia, doi: 10.21043/malia.v7i1.14280

Agustina, Marlina, Br, Sigalingging., Puteri, Keshya, Adisty, Sasmita., Rani, Rosya, Tamba., Sitta, Mutia, Rizkya., Sanusi, Ghazali, Pane. (2024). 1. Analisis Permintaan Agregat dan Penawaran Agregat: Perspektif Teori Dan Empiris. Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis (JEBS), doi: 10.47233/jebs.v4i4.1890

Akhmad, Akhmad., Ambo, Asse., Nursalam, Nursalam., Ibrahim, Ibrahim., Bunyamin, Bunyamin., Anssar, Anssar., Sahajuddin, Sahajuddin. (2023). 2. The Impact of the Increase of Oil Fuel Price and Government Subsidy on Indonesia’s Economic Performance. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, doi: 10.32479/ijeep.15033

Alfred, Bessiga, Bina., M., Fitri, Rahmadana., Muhammad, Yusuf. (2023). 4. The Analysis of Factors Affecting Inflation in Indonesia. doi: 10.4108/eai.1-11-2022.2326164

Arintoko, Arintoko., Lilis, Siti, Badriah., Dijan, Rahajuni., Nunik, Kadarwati., Rakhmat, Priyono., Muhammad, Amin, Hasan. (2023). 3. Asymmetric Effects of World Energy Prices on Inflation in Indonesia. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, doi: 10.32479/ijeep.14731

Arintoko, Arintoko., Lilis, Siti, Badriah., Nunik, Kadarwati. (2024). 3. The Asymmetric Effects of Global Energy and Food Prices, Exchange Rate Dynamics, and Monetary Policy Conduct on Inflation in Indonesia. Ekonomika, doi: 10.15388/ekon.2024.103.2.4

Arkadiusz, Sieroń. (2019). 4. Money, Inflation and Business Cycles: The Cantillon Effect and the Economy.

Bambang, Indra, Ismaya., Donni, Fajar, Anugrah. (2018). 3. Determinant Of Food Inflation : The Case Of Indonesia.

Cut, Endang, Kurniasih., Rahmita, Budiartiningsih., Lapeti, Sari., Ando, Fahda, Aulia., Nobel, Aqualdo., Sahril, Nur. (2024). 4. Unraveling the Dynamic Impact of Money Supply, Interest Rates, and Corruption on Inflation: Evidence from Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, doi: 10.29259/jep.v22i1.23052

Deswita, Herlina., Stannia, Cahaya, Suci., Molla, Md., Matiur, Rahman. (2023). 2. The impact of the monetary policy transmission mechanism-the money supply channel on the economy. Journal of Business and Information Systems, doi: 10.36067/jbis.v5i1.172

Dewi, Cahyani, Pangestuti., Ardhiani, Fadila., Siwi, Nugraheni. (2022). 2. Rupiah Exchange Rate Fluctuations in The US Dollar, Purchasing Power Parity Theory and Fisher Effect Theory Testing. Nominal Barometer Riset Akuntansi dan Manajemen Indonesia, doi: 10.21831/nominal.v11i1.42982

Dina, Azalia., M.Si, Triyono. (2018). 5. Analisis Hubungan Kausalitas Dan Kointegrasi Antara Inflasi, Jumlah Uang Beredar Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Tahun 1981-2015.

Dinh, Doan, Van. (2019). 3. Money supply and inflation impact on economic growth. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, doi: 10.1108/JFEP-10-2018-0152

Eka, Putri, Fitriyani., Dicky, Iranto., Karuniana, Dianta. (2023). 5. Pengaruh Jalur Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. Perspektif (Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat Akademi Manajemen Informatika & Komputer Bina Sarana Informatika), doi: 10.31294/jp.v21i1.15193

Elva, Dona., Habibatul, Hidayati., Khairil, Aswan., Rusdandi, Oktavian., Irwan, Muslim. (2022). 5. Berpengaruhkah Jumlah Uang Beredar, Suku Bunga, Ekspor dan Impor terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia?. Jurnal Ekobistek, doi: 10.35134/ekobistek.v11i4.411

Esengul, Ozdemir, Altinisik., Basak, Taninmis, Yucememis. (2024). 1. The relationship between money supply and inflation: analysis with PANELVAR approach. Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, doi: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1855

Esti, Pasaribu., Retno, Agustina, Ekaputri., Yefriza, Yefriza. (2023). 3. Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Indonesia. Integrated Journal of Business and Economics, doi: 10.33019/ijbe.v7i2.645

Eugene, Goryunov., Sergey, Drobyshevsky., A., Kudrin., Pavel, Trunin. (2023). 3. Causes and lessons of accelerating global inflation. Voprosy Economiki, doi: 10.32609/0042-8736-2023-7-5-34

Faisal, Kamal., Ihtisham, ul, Haq., Dilawar, Khan., Hameed, Gul. (2023). 2. An Empirical Investigation of the Quantity Theory of Money in Pakistan. Bulletin of business and economics, doi: 10.61506/01.00182

Farah, Isnani, Muntaza., Dwi, Susilowati. (2024). 5. Pengaruh suku bunga, ekspor, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap tingkat inflasi di indonesia. Journal of Financial Economics & Investment, doi: 10.22219/jofei.v4i2.32843

Haitham, Khoj., Muhammad, Saeed. (2024). 4. Investigating the Casual Impact of Oil Price Dynamics on Inflation Using Wavelet Analysis on G20 Countries. doi: 10.20944/preprints202404.1979.v1

Huda, Einurohmah., Maulidyah, Indira, Hasmarini. (2024). 5. Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor, Harga Minyak Dan Kurs Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia Tahun 1990-2019. Costing, doi: 10.31539/costing.v7i4.10038

Ignacio, Presno., and, Carmelo, Prestipino. (2024). 1. Oil Price Shocks and Inflation in a DSGE Model of the Global Economy. FEDS notes, doi: 10.17016/2380-7172.3570

Jerome, Martin. (2018). 5. The Theory of Inflation. arXiv: Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics, doi: 10.3254/ENFI200008

Karari, Budi, Prasasti., Edy, Juwono, Slamet. (2020). 5. Pengaruh jumlah uang beredar terhadap inflasi dan suku bunga, serta terhadap investasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di indonesia. doi: 10.20473/JEBA.V30I12020.39-48

Kenneth, G., Stewart. (2024). 1. The Simple Macroeconometrics of the Quantity Theory and the Welfare Cost of Inflation. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104842

Lilia, Granillo, Vázquez, –, Liliana, Fort. (2022). 5. Dynamic Quantity Theory of Money: Research on Monetary Cycle and Business Cycle Based on the Concepts of Issuing Money and Operating Money. Proceedings of business and economic studies, doi: 10.26689/pbes.v5i1.3560

Mahar, Fatwa, Nugroho., Yuni, Prihadi, Utomo. (2022). 2. Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Konsumsi Masyarakat, Jumlah Uang Beredar, serta Nilai Tukar Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Tahun 1997-2020. Ekonomis, doi: 10.33087/ekonomis.v6i2.610

Mansur, Muhammad., Abubakar, Jamilu, Baita., Seyedmasoud, Ansari. (2024). 1. Understanding the Dynamic Linkages: Inflation, Real Balances, and Their Impact on Economic Growth in ECOWAS. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, doi: 10.29259/jep.v22i1.23106

Muhammad, Saifullah. (2023). 3. The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on Inflation After Inflation Targeting Framework Implementation in Indonesia. Bulletin of Islamic Economics, doi: 10.14421/bie.2023.022-03

Nur, Azizah, Komara, Rifai., Mufdhil, Afta, Zhahirulhaq. (2024). 2. Forecasting inflation in indonesia using the autoregressive integrated moving average method. Parameter, doi: 10.22487/27765660.2024.v4.i1.17130

Okon, E.A.., Eke, A.F.., Morgan, M.O.. (2023). 2. Inflation Theory: A Theoretical Review of Demand-Pull and Cost-Push Inflation Effect on Nigeria Economy. African journal of economic and sustainable development, doi: 10.52589/ajesd-hbkhjp39

Pasrun, Adam., Usman, Rianse., Ĺ., M., Harafah., Edi, Cahyono., Muhammad, Rafiy. (2016). 5. A Model of the Dynamics of the Effect of World Crude Oil Price and World Rice Price on Indonesia’s Inflation Rate. doi: 10.7160/AOL.2016.080101

Prabhanshu, Sharma., Mohammad, Rashed, Yadgari. (2023). 4. The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Contingent Built-in Inflation: Evidence from Indonesia. Business Economic, Communication, and Social Sciences Journal (BECOSS), doi: 10.21512/becossjournal.v5i3.10113

Putri, Koraag., Mauna, Maramis., Audie, Niode. (2024). 1. The Influence of the BI-7 Day Reverse Repo Rate (BI7DRR), Money Supply (M2), and Public Savings on Inflation in Indonesia for the Period 2016:Q1-2023:Q4. doi: 10.55927/fjas.v3i7.10343

Rahmawati, Yusuf., Resmawan, Resmawan., Boby, Rantow, Payu. (2021). 5. Pernerapan model persamaan simultan dengan pendekatan two stage least square pada kasus inflasi dan nilai tukar rupiah di indonesia. doi: 10.34312/EULER.V9I2.11173

Sandra, Eickmeier., Boris, Hofmann. (2023). 5. What Drives Inflation? Disentangling Demand and Supply Factors. Social Science Research Network, doi: 10.2139/ssrn.4324205

Septia, Tri, Rahmania., Ali, Anis. (2024). 5. Dampak Guncangan Harga Minyak Dunia Terhadap Dinamika Inflasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Pembangunan, doi: 10.24036/jkep.v6i1.15834

Shania, Puspita, Sari., Irlandia, Ginanjar., Lienda, Noviyanti. (2024). 4. Predicting future inflation in Indonesia using Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA). Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah, doi: 10.22437/ppd.v12i2.31817

Silvia, Puspita, Sari., Meiran, Panggabean. (2024). 2. The Influence of the Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Exports, Bank Indonesia's Reference Interest Rates and the Price of Gold on Inflation in Indonesia. Journal of economics, finance and management studies, doi: 10.47191/jefms/v7-i5-69

Siyabonga, Mndebele., Devi, Datt, Tewari., Kehinde, Damilola, Ilesanmi. (2023). 3. Testing the Validity of the Quantity Theory of Money on Sectoral Data: Non-Linear Evidence from South Africa. Economies, doi: 10.3390/economies11020071

Tiara, Kencana, Ayu. (2020). 2. Global crude oil price and domestic food commodity prices: evidence from indonesia. doi: 10.30908/BILP.V14I1.406

Ulin, Nuhaella, Almaya., Wahyu, Hidayat, Rianto., Syamsul, Hadi. (2021). 4. Pengaruh Harga Minyak Dunia, Inflasi, Konsumsi Rumah Tangga terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. doi: 10.22219/JIE.V5I2.14101

Vicky, Oktavia., Sugeng, Wahyudi. (2022). 3. The Effect of BI Rate and Exchange Rate on Inflation in Indonesia with the Money Supply as a Mediating Variable. JPEB (Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi dan Bisnis), doi: 10.33633/jpeb.v7i1.4305

Xindi, Wang., Zeshui, Xu., Xinxin, Wang., Marinko, Škare. (2022). 3. A review of inflation from 1906 to 2022: a comprehensive analysis of inflation studies from a global perspective. Oeconomia Copernicana, doi: 10.24136/oc.2022.018

А.М., Мамедярова., П.А., Магомеднурова., З.Г., Магомедова. (2022). 4. Theoretical and practical foundations of inflation. Экономика и предпринимательство, doi: 10.34925/eip.2021.137.12.035.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.37531/mirai.v9i3.8084

Refbacks

  • Saat ini tidak ada refbacks.


Flag Counter

Creative Commons License

JURNAL MIRAI MANAGEMENT is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Web
Analytics